An Experiment in Murphy’s Law and Probability

I think I am unlucky. Not really, because I don’t believe in luck, but I figured I would try this experiment for amusement purposes. I have a little pouch with my 2 keys in it. The two keys are indistinguishable from each other at first glance, but only one of them opens the lock on my door. Every evening after work, I pick a key from the pouch at random and see if it opens the door. After 18 tries, one would expect around 9 first attempts to have been successful. But, naturally Murphy’s law prevailed, and that was not the case.

Of the 18 attempts, ONLY ONE succeeded on the first try. WHAT?

This entry was posted in Thoughts and tagged , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>